09 November 2007

Week 9 QB Ratings

Yards per attempt is a very common metric for analyzing QBs. The problem? most sites forget about sacks. Every sack is representative of an attempt to pass that never was. Here are the top 10 QBs for Yards + Yards Lost (sack) / Attempt + Sacks

QB YA
Tom Brady 8.49
Tony Romo 8.09
Derek Anderson 7.67
Peyton Manning 7.54
Brett Favre 7.23
Ben Roethlisberger 7.05
Kurt Warner 7.02
Jay Cutler 7.01
Jeff Garcia 7.00
Carson Palmer 6.97

Surprise? None here, although the only QB that even compares to Brady (with fewer weapons) signed a contract that appears to be way under market value

How about points per passing attempt? this metric was generated by taking the number of touchdowns thrown, multiplying it by 6 (we don't give credit for PATs) and dividing by the number of attempts + the number of sacks:

QB PA
Tom Brady 0.6408
Ben Roethlisberger 0.5286
Tony Romo 0.4145
Derek Anderson 0.3849
Carson Palmer 0.3158
Peyton Manning 0.3146
Eli Manning 0.3035
Matt Hasselbeck 0.2644
Chad Pennington 0.2634
Brian Griese 0.2512

Surprises? yeah we got a few. First, Brady and Roeth average more than a .5 points per passing attempt that seems like an unbelievable number to us. In Manning's record setting season of 49 tds, his points per pass attempt was .576, which means Manning would have had to throw for 55 TDs, or attempted 51 fewer passes. Amazing. Also, how are Pennington and Griese on this list? Brett Favre, a MVP candidate, and Kitna who are having huge seasons are no where to be seen. For Favre, his lack of a running game has hurt him in the stat, he has 321 passing attempts! For Kitna, getting sacked 33 times has to hurt (and not just in this metric).

Ok that's all for now, Brian Griese? Man.....

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